World inflation outlook and US treasury yields – Danske Financial institution

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The USD/JPY pair is about to finish the week hovering round 136.50/80, close to the identical stage it had every week in the past. Analysts from Danske Financial institution forecast the pair at 137 in a month, at 139 in three months, after which to maneuver decrease, reaching 128 in twelve months. 

Key Quotes:

“Upside dangers to USD/JPY come from a continued stress for greater international yields, though intervention will doubtless cap sudden strikes greater. If international slowdown turns right into a extra extreme recession and speculators unwind quick JPY positions, flatter yield curves and cheaper power can shortly grow to be a tailwind for JPY.”

“The important thing driver of USD/JPY stays the worldwide inflation outlook and US treasury yields. Following the decrease than anticipated US October and November CPI prints, JPY has strengthened fairly considerably however stays weak in a historic perspective. With the US labour market nonetheless in fine condition, we proceed to see a stress on Fed to tighten additional and elevated power costs will weigh on the JPY within the quick time period. Wanting additional forward, we do count on a stronger JPY.”
 

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